Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?” a 16% chance of resolving YES, up 9 points over the past 24 hours. $54.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 16% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
16¢
up 9 points 24h
NO
84¢
24h volume
$54.6k
Open interest
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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?" moved from 14% to 16% across 20 points. Current 16%. Data points: Oct 7: 14%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 17%, Oct 7: 17%, Oct 7: 17%, Oct 7: 17%, Oct 7: 13%, Oct 7: 14%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Oct 7: 16%, Now: 16%
The WeeBet read
How we calculate this →- Implied probability
- 16%
- 24h move
- +9 pts
- Liquidity
- Deep
- Fair value
- 16%
Moved up 9 points in 24 hours — the market is repricing on something. Worth checking what news drove it before the price settles.
This market is closed
Trading has ended on this question. The price history above is the record of how the market read it.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 16% probability of YES (up 9 points in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.