Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?” a 46% chance of resolving YES, up 1 point over the past 24 hours. $129.6k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on April 19, 2027. A YES price of 46% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.
YES
46¢
up 1 point 24h
NO
54¢
24h volume
$129.6k
Open interest
—
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
PolymarketYES probability for "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?" moved from 36% to 46% across 267 points. Current 46%. Data points: Sep 18: 36%, Sep 18: 36%, Sep 18: 36%, Sep 18: 37%, Sep 18: 37%, Sep 18: 37%, Sep 18: 37%, Sep 18: 37%, Sep 18: 37%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 18: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 19: 38%, Sep 29: 42%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 29: 44%, Sep 29: 44%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 29: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Sep 30: 43%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 44%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 45%, Oct 2: 46%, Oct 2: 46%, Oct 5: 45%, Oct 5: 45%, Oct 5: 43%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 42%, Oct 5: 43%, Oct 5: 43%, Oct 5: 43%, Oct 5: 43%, Oct 5: 44%, Oct 5: 44%, Oct 5: 44%, Oct 5: 44%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 6: 43%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 9: 41%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 40%, Oct 12: 42%, Oct 12: 42%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 44%, Oct 13: 44%, Oct 13: 44%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 13: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 43%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 45%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 14: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 44%, Oct 15: 46%, Oct 15: 46%, Oct 15: 46%, Oct 15: 46%, Now: 46%
The WeeBet Angle
Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election on Polymarket
46% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
Trade this market
WeeBet doesn't accept wagers — you'll trade on Polymarket directly. Standard affiliate disclosure applies.
Open on Polymarket →- Licensed (CFTC-regulated DCM)
- No min deposit
- Since 2021
Advertising disclosure: WeeBet earns a commission if you sign up via this link — it doesn't affect our rating. 18+/21+ · Gamble responsibly.
More politics markets
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
FAQ
- What are the odds of Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election??
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 46% probability of YES (up 1 point in the last 24h).
- Where can I trade Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election??
- This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on April 19, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.