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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” a 5% chance of resolving YES. $46.7k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 5% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

5¢

NO

95¢

24h volume

$46.7k

Open interest

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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Polymarket
as of Oct 15, 2026

YES probability for "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?" moved from 8% to 5% across 321 points. Current 5%. Data points: Sep 16: 8%, Sep 16: 8%, Sep 16: 9%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 16: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 7%, Sep 17: 6%, Sep 17: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 7%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 18: 6%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 6%, Sep 25: 6%, Sep 25: 6%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 25: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Sep 26: 7%, Oct 1: 6%, Oct 1: 6%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 1: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 7%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 2: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 3: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 7%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 7%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 6%, Oct 5: 5%, Oct 5: 5%, Oct 5: 5%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 5%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 6: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 8: 6%, Oct 9: 5%, Oct 9: 4%, Oct 9: 4%, Oct 9: 4%, Oct 9: 4%, Oct 9: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 4%, Oct 10: 5%, Oct 10: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 4%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 6%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 11: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Oct 12: 5%, Now: 5%

The WeeBet Angle

the Iranian regime fall before 2027 on Polymarket

5% — Drifting on a well-backed number.

5%
Implied
$46.7k
Liquidity
−1pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 5% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.