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Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?” a 92% chance of resolving YES, up 30 points over the past 24 hours. $63.3k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on October 13, 2026. A YES price of 92% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Polymarket before trading.

YES

92¢

up 30 points 24h

NO

8¢

24h volume

$63.3k

Open interest

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Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?

Polymarket
as of Oct 8, 2026

YES probability for "Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026?" moved from 88% to 92% across 10 points. Current 92%. Data points: Oct 1: 88%, Oct 1: 88%, Oct 2: 88%, Oct 2: 88%, Oct 2: 81%, Oct 2: 81%, Oct 2: 81%, Oct 2: 92%, Oct 2: 92%, Now: 92%

The WeeBet Angle

Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026 on Polymarket

92% — Major repricing — something changed; check the news.

92%
Implied
$63.3k
Liquidity

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Polymarket implies a 92% probability of YES (up 30 points in the last 24h).
Where can I trade Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026??
This contract trades on Polymarket. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on October 13, 2026, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.