Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
As of October 2026, Kalshi traders give “Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes” a 19% chance of resolving YES. $6.2k has traded in the last 24 hours, and it resolves on January 31, 2028. A YES price of 19% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Kalshi before trading.
YES
19¢
NO
79¢
24h volume
$6.2k
Open interest
$358.9k
Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes
KalshiYES probability for "Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes" moved from 24% to 19% across 29 points. Current 19%. Data points: Sep 17: 24%, Sep 19: 22%, Sep 21: 21%, Sep 23: 22%, Sep 24: 22%, Sep 27: 21%, Oct 1: 19%, Oct 1: 19%, Oct 1: 19%, Oct 1: 20%, Oct 1: 20%, Oct 2: 19%, Oct 2: 19%, Oct 2: 20%, Oct 4: 16%, Oct 4: 17%, Oct 6: 20%, Oct 7: 15%, Oct 7: 18%, Oct 9: 18%, Oct 9: 19%, Oct 9: 18%, Oct 10: 19%, Oct 11: 18%, Oct 13: 19%, Oct 14: 19%, Oct 14: 20%, Oct 16: 19%, Now: 19%
The WeeBet Angle
there be a recession in 2027? — Yes on Kalshi
19% — Drifting on a well-backed number.
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FAQ
- What are the odds of Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes?
- As of October 2026, the prediction market on Kalshi implies a 19% probability of YES.
- Where can I trade Will there be a recession in 2027? — Yes?
- This contract trades on Kalshi. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
- When does this market resolve?
- It is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2028, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.