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Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

As of October 2026, Kalshi traders give “Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?” a 1% chance of resolving YES. $882.4k has traded, and it resolves on January 1, 2027. A YES price of 1% is the market-implied probability the event happens — not a guarantee. Verify the full resolution criteria on Kalshi before trading.

YES

1¢

NO

98¢

24h volume

—

Open interest

$290.9k

Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Kalshi
as of Oct 17, 2026

YES probability for "Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?" moved from 1% to 1% across 52 points. Current 1%. Data points: Sep 17: 1%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 18: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 19: 2%, Sep 20: 2%, Sep 20: 1%, Sep 20: 1%, Sep 21: 1%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 21: 3%, Sep 22: 3%, Sep 22: 3%, Sep 22: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 23: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 24: 2%, Sep 25: 2%, Sep 27: 2%, Sep 27: 2%, Sep 28: 2%, Sep 29: 1%, Sep 29: 1%, Sep 29: 1%, Sep 30: 1%, Sep 30: 1%, Oct 2: 1%, Oct 3: 1%, Oct 3: 1%, Oct 3: 1%, Oct 3: 1%, Oct 4: 1%, Oct 4: 1%, Oct 4: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 5: 1%, Oct 6: 1%, Oct 7: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 8: 1%, Oct 11: 1%, Oct 14: 1%, Now: 1%

The WeeBet Angle

Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET on Kalshi

1% — Thin market — noisy price.

1%
Implied
+0pts
7-day momentum

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FAQ

What are the odds of Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET??
As of October 2026, the prediction market on Kalshi implies a 1% probability of YES.
Where can I trade Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET??
This contract trades on Kalshi. WeeBet links you to the source platform — we don't accept wagers.
When does this market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, at which point YES or NO pays out based on the platform's resolution source.