Prediction Markets
World odds
As of October 2026, these are the most active world prediction markets — geopolitics, conflict, and global events — priced live across Polymarket and Kalshi. Each YES price is the market-implied probability the event resolves true.
Polymarket$65k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
18%YES▲1
resolves 3moTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$102k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
2%YES▬
resolves 24dTrade on Polymarket ↗