Prediction Markets
Economy odds
As of October 2026, these are the most active economy prediction markets — Fed decisions, inflation, jobs, and recession odds — priced live across Polymarket and Kalshi. Each YES price is the market-implied probability the event resolves true.
Polymarket$123k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YES▬
resolves 18dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$99k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
84%YES▬
resolves 18dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$86k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
16%YES▬
resolves 18dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$114k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YES▬
resolves 18dTrade on Polymarket ↗
Polymarket$100k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0%YES▬
resolves 18dTrade on Polymarket ↗